Our pick for every fight: who wins and how often, and how it ends, next to the moneylines. Graded after every card.
Winners68.0%17-8-1+1.4 units on 23 priced picksSportsbook favorites won 78.3% of these fights
How we've done · 4 cards
40%50%60%70%80%90%
68.0%
87.5%
75.0%
44.4%
33.3%
All picks17–8–1+1.4 unitsSportsbook favorites18–5–1 · 78.3%
Strong7–1
Lean6–2
Low4–5–1
Underdog picks1–2−1.0 unit
How our UFC picks have done, by how sure we were
Pick
Record
Hit %
All picks
17–8–1
68.0% (+1.4 units); Sportsbook favorites 18–5–1
Strong
7–1
87.5%
Lean
6–2
75.0%
Low
4–5–1
44.4%
Underdog picks
1–2
33.3% (−1.0 unit)
Bars: how often each group of our picks won (draws and no contests left out). Rating: Strong = we gave our pick a 70% or better chance, Lean 60–70%, Low under 60%. Units: 1 unit on each pick at the sportsbook moneyline.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Magomedov · 2026-12-05
This card's picks are for subscribers
Our call on every fight: the winner and how often, and how it ends. The record above shows how they've done.