CBB Pick'emsBeta

What the numbers mean

• Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
• Needs X% to break even: how often a team has to win for its Vegas moneyline to pay off (−150 needs 60%, +150 needs 40%).
• ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
• Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
• Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
• Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.
• Units: Winners are also graded at the real odds — 1 unit on each pick at its Vegas moneyline (a −200 winner pays 0.5, a +150 winner 1.5, a loss costs 1). Picks without a saved moneyline count in the record only. Spread and over/under picks are graded at standard −110: a win pays 0.91, a loss costs 1, a push nothing.
• Favorites covered / Overs hit: how often the Vegas favorite covered the spread, and how often the game went over the total, in the same games we picked. A coin-flip market sits near 50%.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.