College Football Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners78.5%245–67

Against the spread52.9%163–145–4

Over / under52.5%159–144

All-time · Vegas favorites won 79.8% of the same games (249–63). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.

How we've done · All-time

How our picks have done, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
Pick	Record	Hit %
Winners	245–67	78.5% (Vegas favorites 79.8%)
ATS	163–145–4	52.9%
Over/Under	159–144	52.5%

52.4% break-even · Vegas favorites · Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating · Winners

Winners picks by Rating, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
Pick	Record	Hit %
Lean	245–67	78.5%

Week 5

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Friday

PITT @ VTFinal: PITT 35, VT 33

Winner

Lean

VT 58% to winOur odds VT −138 · PITT +138 ✗

Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low

PITT +1.5 ✓

Vegas spread VT −1.5

Over/Under

Lean

O 53.5 · our total 54.5 (PITT 26, VT 29) ✓

Vegas total 53.5

PSU @ NUFinal: PSU 13, NU 34

Winner

Lean

PSU 55% to winOur odds PSU −123 · NU +123 ✗

Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low

NU +3 ✓

Vegas spread PSU −3

Over/Under

Low

O 46.5 · our total 56 (PSU 29, NU 27) ✓

Vegas total 46.5

Saturday Noon

ALA @ MSSTFinal: ALA 56, MSST 23

Winner

Lean

MSST 51% to winOur odds MSST −102 · ALA +102 ✗

Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Lean

MSST +5.5 ✗

Vegas spread ALA −5.5

Over/Under

Lean

U 62.5 · our total 59.5 (ALA 30, MSST 31) ✗

Vegas total 62.5

BC @ SMUFinal: BC 16, SMU 25

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SMU −21.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 55.5

MICH @ MINNFinal: MICH 14, MINN 20

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread MICH −6.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 41.5

Middle Tennessee @ KUFinal: Middle Tennessee 0, KU 55

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread KU −21.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5

ND @ UNCFinal: ND 37, UNC 26

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ND −21

Over/Under

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Vegas total 46.5

STAN @ WAKEFinal: STAN 3, WAKE 57

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread WAKE −14.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5

SYR @ UConnFinal: SYR 42, UConn 41

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SYR −6.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5

UCF @ HOUFinal: UCF 17, HOU 27

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread HOU −10.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5

WVU @ ISUFinal: WVU 42, ISU 45

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ISU −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 53.5

MSU @ WISFinal: MSU 3, WIS 31

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread WIS −8.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 43.5

VAN @ UGAFinal: VAN 14, UGA 38

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UGA −25.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5

Saturday Afternoon

AUB @ TENNFinal: AUB 14, TENN 24

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TENN −6

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5

CAL @ UNLVFinal: CAL 31, UNLV 39

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UNLV −1.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5

LOU @ NCSUFinal: LOU 28, NCSU 31

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread LOU −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5

OSU @ IOWAFinal: OSU 31, IOWA 14

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread OSU −14.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 46.5

UVA @ FSUFinal: UVA 7, FSU 38

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UVA −1.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5

FLA @ MIZFinal: FLA 17, MIZ 45

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread FLA −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 57.5

MD @ NEBFinal: MD 23, NEB 48

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread NEB −15.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 52.5

UK @ SCFinal: UK 35, SC 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SC −2.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 52.5

PUR @ ILLFinal: PUR 24, ILL 17

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ILL −9.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 62.5

Saturday Night

ARK @ TA&MFinal: ARK 7, TA&M 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TA&M −13.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5

BYU @ TCUFinal: BYU 17, TCU 10

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread BYU −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5

MIA @ CLEMFinal: MIA 41, CLEM 13

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread MIA −14

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5

TTU @ COLOFinal: TTU 29, COLO 7

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TTU −13.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5

WASH @ USCFinal: WASH 21, USC 25

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread USC −7.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5

McNeese @ LSUFinal: McNeese 14, LSU 63

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread LSU −53.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 62.5

IU @ RUTGFinal: IU 47, RUTG 15

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread IU −24.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5

BAY @ ASUFinal: BAY 55, ASU 19

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ASU −3.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5

CIN @ ARIZFinal: CIN 7, ARIZ 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ARIZ −7

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5

What the numbers mean

Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.