NFL Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners64.7%244โ€“133โ€“2
Against the spread54.3%202โ€“170โ€“7
Over / under51.6%181โ€“170

All-time ยท Vegas favorites won 65.0% of the same games (245โ€“132). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โˆ’110 odds.

How we've done ยท All-time
How our picks have done, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners244โ€“133โ€“264.7% (Vegas favorites 65.0%)
ATS202โ€“170โ€“754.3%
Over/Under181โ€“17051.6%

52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating ยท ATS
ATS picks by Rating, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Lean165โ€“141โ€“653.9%
Strong37โ€“29โ€“156.1%

Week 3

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Thursday Night

ATL @ GBFinal: ATL 35, GB 14

Winner

Lean
GB 66% to winOur odds GB โˆ’197 ยท ATL +197 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
ATL +4.5 โœ“
Vegas spread GB โˆ’4.5

Over/Under

No side ยท our total 43.5 (ATL 19, GB 25)
Vegas total 43.5

Sunday early

CAR @ CLEFinal: CAR 18, CLE 21

Winner

Lean
CAR 53% to winOur odds CAR โˆ’111 ยท CLE +111 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
CAR โˆ’2.5 โœ—
Vegas spread CAR โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

Low
O 41.5 ยท our total 42.5 (CAR 22, CLE 21) โœ—
Vegas total 41.5
CIN @ PITFinal: CIN 27, PIT 30

Winner

Lean
PIT 53% to winOur odds PIT โˆ’115 ยท CIN +115 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
PIT +3.5 โœ“
Vegas spread CIN โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

Low
O 42.5 ยท our total 44 (CIN 21, PIT 23) โœ“
Vegas total 42.5
HOU @ INDFinal: HOU 17, IND 19

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread HOU โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
KC @ MIAFinal: KC 24, MIA 10

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread KC โˆ’10

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
LAC @ BUFFinal: LAC 16, BUF 24

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF โˆ’7

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 50.5
NE @ JAXFinal: NE 6, JAX 35

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread JAX โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NYJ @ DETFinal: NYJ 24, DET 31

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DET โˆ’7

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
SEA @ WASFinal: SEA 31, WAS 33

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA โˆ’8.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
TEN @ NYGFinal: TEN 7, NYG 12

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread NYG โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 37.5

Sunday late

ARI @ SFFinal: ARI 30, SF 36

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread SF โˆ’7.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 48.5
MIN @ TBFinal: MIN 23, TB 16

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
BAL @ DALFinal: BAL 34, DAL 31

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread BAL โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5
LV @ NOFinal: LV 35, NO 27

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread NO โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

Sunday Night

LA @ DENFinal: LA 26, DEN 30

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DEN โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

Monday Night

PHI @ CHIFinal: PHI 7, CHI 27

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread PHI โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โˆ’165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.