NFL Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners64.7%244โ€“133โ€“2
Against the spread54.3%202โ€“170โ€“7
Over / under51.6%181โ€“170

All-time ยท Vegas favorites won 65.0% of the same games (245โ€“132). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โˆ’110 odds.

How we've done ยท All-time
How our picks have done, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners244โ€“133โ€“264.7% (Vegas favorites 65.0%)
ATS202โ€“170โ€“754.3%
Over/Under181โ€“17051.6%

52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating ยท ATS
ATS picks by Rating, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Lean165โ€“141โ€“653.9%
Strong37โ€“29โ€“156.1%

Week 6

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Thursday Night

SEA @ DENFinal: SEA 14, DEN 17

Winner

Lean
DEN 56% to winOur odds DEN โˆ’128 ยท SEA +128 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
SEA โˆ’2.5 โœ—
Vegas spread SEA โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

Low
U 40.5 ยท our total 37 (SEA 17, DEN 19) โœ“
Vegas total 40.5

Sunday early

HOU @ JAXFinal: HOU 34, JAX 31

Winner

Lean
JAX 57% to winOur odds JAX โˆ’131 ยท HOU +131 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Strong
HOU +2.5 โœ“
Vegas spread JAX โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

No side ยท our total 42.5 (HOU 20, JAX 22)
Vegas total 42.5
BAL @ CLEFinal: BAL 10, CLE 13

Winner

Lean
CLE 50% to winOur odds CLE +100 ยท BAL +100 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
BAL โˆ’3 โœ—
Vegas spread BAL โˆ’3

Over/Under

Low
O 39.5 ยท our total 42 (BAL 21, CLE 22) โœ—
Vegas total 39.5
CAR @ PHIFinal: CAR 25, PHI 14

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CAR โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
CHI @ ATLFinal: CHI 31, ATL 23

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
NO @ NYGFinal: NO 34, NYG 27

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread NO โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NYJ @ NEFinal: NYJ 19, NE 26

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread NE โˆ’7.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
PIT @ TBFinal: PIT 26, TB 19

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread PIT โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 38.5
TEN @ INDFinal: TEN 26, IND 20

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread IND โˆ’6.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

Sunday late

ARI @ LAFinal: ARI 18, LA 16

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread LA โˆ’12.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
BUF @ LVFinal: BUF 33, LV 30

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF โˆ’5.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5
LAC @ KCFinal: LAC 6, KC 22

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread KC โˆ’7.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5

Sunday Night

DAL @ GBFinal: DAL 13, GB 23

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5

Monday Night

WAS @ SFFinal: WAS 17, SF 23

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread SF โˆ’7.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โˆ’165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.