NFL Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners64.7%244โ€“133โ€“2
Against the spread54.3%202โ€“170โ€“7
Over / under51.6%181โ€“170

All-time ยท Vegas favorites won 65.0% of the same games (245โ€“132). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โˆ’110 odds.

How we've done ยท All-time
How our picks have done, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners244โ€“133โ€“264.7% (Vegas favorites 65.0%)
ATS202โ€“170โ€“754.3%
Over/Under181โ€“17051.6%

52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating ยท ATS
ATS picks by Rating, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Lean165โ€“141โ€“653.9%
Strong37โ€“29โ€“156.1%

Week 7

๐Ÿ”’ You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game.Create free account

Thursday Night

NE @ CHIFinal: NE 24, CHI 30

Winner

Lean
CHI 53% to winOur odds CHI โˆ’114 ยท NE +114 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
CHI โˆ’3 โœ“
Vegas spread CHI โˆ’3

Over/Under

No side ยท our total 50.5 (NE 25, CHI 26)
Vegas total 50.5

Sunday early

PIT @ NOFinal: PIT 16, NO 10

Winner

Lean
PIT 58% to winOur odds PIT โˆ’138 ยท NO +138 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
PIT โˆ’3 โœ“
Vegas spread PIT โˆ’3

Over/Under

Low
O 43.5 ยท our total 45 (PIT 24, NO 21) โœ—
Vegas total 43.5
CIN @ BALFinal: CIN 35, BAL 13

Winner

Lean
BAL 54% to winOur odds BAL โˆ’119 ยท CIN +119 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
CIN โˆ’3 โœ“
Vegas spread CIN โˆ’3

Over/Under

Low
O 46.5 ยท our total 49 (CIN 24, BAL 25) โœ“
Vegas total 46.5
CLE @ TENFinal: CLE 27, TEN 24

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CLE โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 36.5
IND @ MINFinal: IND 10, MIN 16

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN โˆ’6.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
MIA @ NYJFinal: MIA 28, NYJ 25

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread NYJ โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
NYG @ HOUFinal: NYG 27, HOU 21

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread HOU โˆ’10

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
SF @ ATLFinal: SF 20, ATL 29

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread SF โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
TB @ CARFinal: TB 43, CAR 13

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CAR โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5

Sunday late

DEN @ ARIFinal: DEN 30, ARI 16

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DEN โˆ’4.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
GB @ DETFinal: GB 17, DET 20

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DET โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 55.5
LA @ LVFinal: LA 35, LV 21

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread LA โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5

Sunday Night

KC @ SEAFinal: KC 3, SEA 20

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

Monday Night

DAL @ PHIFinal: DAL 38, PHI 21

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL โˆ’4.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โˆ’165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.