NFL Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners64.7%244โ€“133โ€“2
Against the spread54.3%202โ€“170โ€“7
Over / under51.6%181โ€“170

All-time ยท Vegas favorites won 65.0% of the same games (245โ€“132). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โˆ’110 odds.

How we've done ยท All-time
How our picks have done, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners244โ€“133โ€“264.7% (Vegas favorites 65.0%)
ATS202โ€“170โ€“754.3%
Over/Under181โ€“17051.6%

52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating ยท Over/Under
Over/Under picks by Rating, All-time (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Low181โ€“17051.6%

Week 2

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Thursday Night

DET @ BUFFinal: DET 31, BUF 41

Winner

Lean
BUF 59% to winOur odds BUF โˆ’146 ยท DET +146 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
BUF โˆ’5.5 โœ“
Vegas spread BUF โˆ’5.5

Over/Under

Low
U 54.5 ยท our total 53 (DET 25, BUF 28) โœ—
Vegas total 54.5

Sunday early

CAR @ ATLFinal: CAR 34, ATL 3

Winner

Lean
ATL 64% to winOur odds ATL โˆ’175 ยท CAR +175 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
CAR โˆ’2.5 โœ“
Vegas spread CAR โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

Low
O 43.5 ยท our total 46 (CAR 21, ATL 25) โœ—
Vegas total 43.5
CIN @ HOUFinal: CIN 20, HOU 6

Winner

Lean
HOU 64% to winOur odds HOU โˆ’178 ยท CIN +178 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
CIN +3 โœ“
Vegas spread HOU โˆ’3

Over/Under

Low
O 45.5 ยท our total 47 (CIN 21, HOU 26) โœ—
Vegas total 45.5
CLE @ TBFinal: CLE 23, TB 19

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread TB โˆ’8.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
GB @ NYJFinal: GB 20, NYJ 17

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread GB โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 44.5
MIN @ CHIFinal: MIN 9, CHI 3

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread CHI โˆ’4.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NO @ BALFinal: NO 24, BAL 17

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread BAL โˆ’8.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
PHI @ TENFinal: PHI 24, TEN 20

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread PHI โˆ’7

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
PIT @ NEFinal: PIT 3, NE 20

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread NE โˆ’4.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5

Sunday late

JAX @ DENFinal: JAX 13, DEN 20

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread DEN โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
LV @ LACFinal: LV 26, LAC 14

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread LAC โˆ’6.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
MIA @ SFFinal: MIA 13, SF 35

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread SF โˆ’12.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
SEA @ ARIFinal: SEA 31, ARI 7

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread SEA โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
WAS @ DALFinal: WAS 20, DAL 37

Winner

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Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

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Vegas spread DAL โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5

Sunday Night

IND @ KCFinal: IND 30, KC 33

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread KC โˆ’6

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5

Monday Night

NYG @ LAFinal: NYG 6, LA 28

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread LA โˆ’6.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โˆ’165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.