NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 63.8% 173–98–1
Against the spread 51.7% 140–131–1
Over / under 54.2% 136–115
2025 season · Vegas favorites won 65.3% of the same games (177–94). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2025 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 173–98–1 ATS 140–131–1 Over/Under 136–115 How our picks have done, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 173–98–1 63.8% (Vegas favorites 65.3%) ATS 140–131–1 51.7% Over/Under 136–115 54.2%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 117–110–1 Strong 23–21 ATS picks by Rating, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 117–110–1 51.5% Strong 23–21 52.3%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 2 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night DET @ BUF Final: DET 31, BUF 41
Winner Lean BUF 59% to win Our odds BUF −146 · DET +146 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean BUF −5.5 ✓
Vegas spread BUF −5.5
Over/Under Low U 54.5 · our total 53 (DET 25, BUF 28) ✗
Vegas total 54.5
Sunday early
Winner Lean ATL 64% to win Our odds ATL −175 · CAR +175 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CAR −2.5 ✓
Vegas spread CAR −2.5
Over/Under Low O 43.5 · our total 46 (CAR 21, ATL 25) ✗
Vegas total 43.5
Winner Lean HOU 64% to win Our odds HOU −178 · CIN +178 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CIN +3 ✓
Vegas spread HOU −3
Over/Under Low O 45.5 · our total 47 (CIN 21, HOU 26) ✗
Vegas total 45.5
CLE @ TB Final: CLE 23, TB 19
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread TB −8.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
GB @ NYJ Final: GB 20, NYJ 17
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread GB −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NO @ BAL Final: NO 24, BAL 17
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread BAL −8.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
PHI @ TEN Final: PHI 24, TEN 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread PHI −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
PIT @ NE Final: PIT 3, NE 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NE −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
Sunday late JAX @ DEN Final: JAX 13, DEN 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
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Vegas spread DEN −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
LV @ LAC Final: LV 26, LAC 14
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
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Vegas spread LAC −6.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
MIA @ SF Final: MIA 13, SF 35
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SF −12.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
WAS @ DAL Final: WAS 20, DAL 37
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
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Vegas spread DAL −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
Sunday Night IND @ KC Final: IND 30, KC 33
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread KC −6
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
Monday Night NYG @ LA Final: NYG 6, LA 28
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread LA −6.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.