NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 63.8% 173–98–1
Against the spread 51.7% 140–131–1
Over / under 54.2% 136–115
2025 season · Vegas favorites won 65.3% of the same games (177–94). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2025 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 173–98–1 ATS 140–131–1 Over/Under 136–115 How our picks have done, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 173–98–1 63.8% (Vegas favorites 65.3%) ATS 140–131–1 51.7% Over/Under 136–115 54.2%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 117–110–1 Strong 23–21 ATS picks by Rating, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 117–110–1 51.5% Strong 23–21 52.3%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 4 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night PIT @ CLE Final: PIT 24, CLE 27
Winner Lean CLE 51% to win Our odds CLE −104 · PIT +104 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean PIT −2.5 ✗
Vegas spread PIT −2.5
Over/Under Low O 38.5 · our total 39 (PIT 19, CLE 20) ✓
Vegas total 38.5
Sunday early IND @ WAS Final: IND 30, WAS 13
Winner Lean IND 57% to win Our odds IND −130 · WAS +130 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Strong IND −4.5 ✓
Vegas spread IND −4.5
Over/Under Low O 46.5 · our total 51 (IND 26, WAS 24) ✗
Vegas total 46.5
ARI @ NYG Final: ARI 24, NYG 36
Winner Lean NYG 52% to win Our odds NYG −108 · ARI +108 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Strong ARI −2.5 ✗
Vegas spread ARI −2.5
Over/Under Low O 44.5 · our total 45.5 (ARI 22, NYG 23) ✓
Vegas total 44.5
DAL @ HOU Final: DAL 34, HOU 30
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread HOU −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 48.5
GB @ TB Final: GB 17, TB 14
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread GB −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 38.5
JAX @ CIN Final: JAX 22, CIN 17
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CIN −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
LA @ PHI Final: LA 24, PHI 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread LA −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
NE @ BUF Final: NE 29, BUF 26
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
NYJ @ CHI Final: NYJ 12, CHI 23
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
TEN @ BAL Final: TEN 18, BAL 24
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Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread BAL −11.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
Sunday late MIA @ MIN Final: MIA 10, MIN 15
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN −10
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 38.5
DEN @ SF Final: DEN 14, SF 24
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SF −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 48.5
KC @ LV Final: KC 30, LV 27
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread KC −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
LAC @ SEA Final: LAC 23, SEA 30
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
Sunday Night DET @ CAR Final: DET 26, CAR 32
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DET −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 52.5
Monday Night ATL @ NO Final: ATL 45, NO 24
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NO −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.