NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 63.8% 173–98–1
Against the spread 51.7% 140–131–1
Over / under 54.2% 136–115
2025 season · Vegas favorites won 65.3% of the same games (177–94). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2025 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 173–98–1 ATS 140–131–1 Over/Under 136–115 How our picks have done, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 173–98–1 63.8% (Vegas favorites 65.3%) ATS 140–131–1 51.7% Over/Under 136–115 54.2%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 117–110–1 Strong 23–21 ATS picks by Rating, 2025 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 117–110–1 51.5% Strong 23–21 52.3%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 5 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night TB @ DAL Final: TB 24, DAL 16
Winner Lean DAL 63% to win Our odds DAL −172 · TB +172 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean DAL −9.5 ✗
Vegas spread DAL −9.5
Over/Under Low U 49.5 · our total 47 (TB 21, DAL 26) ✓
Vegas total 49.5
Sunday early PHI @ JAX Final: PHI 17, JAX 19
Winner Lean JAX 63% to win Our odds JAX −167 · PHI +167 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean JAX −7.5 ✗
Vegas spread JAX −7.5
Over/Under Low O 41.5 · our total 43 (PHI 19, JAX 24) ✗
Vegas total 41.5
CHI @ GB Final: CHI 7, GB 31
Winner Lean GB 58% to win Our odds GB −136 · CHI +136 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CHI −1.5 ✗
Vegas spread CHI −1.5
Over/Under No side · our total 46.5 (CHI 22, GB 25)
Vegas total 46.5
CIN @ MIA Final: CIN 31, MIA 24
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CIN −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
CLE @ NYJ Final: CLE 12, NYJ 17
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NYJ −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 38.5
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread HOU −6.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 37.5
IND @ PIT Final: IND 22, PIT 34
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread PIT −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
LV @ NE Final: LV 17, NE 45
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NE −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
MIN @ NO Final: MIN 23, NO 13
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
NYG @ WAS Final: NYG 27, WAS 27
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread WAS −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
Sunday late DEN @ LAC Final: DEN 23, LAC 17
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DEN −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
DET @ ARI Final: DET 45, ARI 21
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DET −5.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 55.5
SF @ SEA Final: SF 32, SEA 29
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
Sunday Night BAL @ ATL Final: BAL 30, ATL 23
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread ATL −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Monday Night BUF @ LA Final: BUF 37, LA 34
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread LA −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 55.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.