College Football Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners78.5%245–67
Against the spread52.9%163–145–4
Over / under52.5%159–144

2026 season · Vegas favorites won 79.8% of the same games (249–63). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.

How we've done · 2026 season
How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners245–6778.5% (Vegas favorites 79.8%)
ATS163–145–452.9%
Over/Under159–14452.5%

52.4% break-even · Vegas favorites · Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating · Over/Under
Over/Under picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Low69–6651.1%
Lean90–7853.6%
Over the season
Prediction recordRunning % through each week this season
  • Winners 78.5%
  • ATS 52.9%
  • O/U 52.5%
  • Vegas favorites 79.8%
  • 52.4% break-even (ATS, O/U)
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds)
WeekWinnersATSO/UVegas favorites
Week 191.7%55.2%46.4%93.3%
Week 290.8%53.3%49.0%92.7%
Week 389.8%51.6%52.0%92.4%
Week 487.7%52.3%55.3%89.7%
Week 585.4%52.0%55.2%87.2%
Week 683.1%53.0%52.4%84.3%
Week 780.4%51.2%52.5%82.1%
Week 878.5%52.9%52.5%79.8%

Week 5

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Friday

PITT @ VTFinal: PITT 35, VT 33

Winner

Lean
VT 58% to winOur odds VT −138 · PITT +138 ✗
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low
PITT +1.5 ✓
Vegas spread VT −1.5

Over/Under

Lean
O 53.5 · our total 54.5 (PITT 26, VT 29) ✓
Vegas total 53.5
PSU @ NUFinal: PSU 13, NU 34

Winner

Lean
PSU 55% to winOur odds PSU −123 · NU +123 ✗
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low
NU +3 ✓
Vegas spread PSU −3

Over/Under

Low
O 46.5 · our total 56 (PSU 29, NU 27) ✓
Vegas total 46.5

Saturday Noon

ALA @ MSSTFinal: ALA 56, MSST 23

Winner

Lean
MSST 51% to winOur odds MSST −102 · ALA +102 ✗
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Lean
MSST +5.5 ✗
Vegas spread ALA −5.5

Over/Under

Lean
U 62.5 · our total 59.5 (ALA 30, MSST 31) ✗
Vegas total 62.5
BC @ SMUFinal: BC 16, SMU 25

Winner

🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SMU −21.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 55.5
MICH @ MINNFinal: MICH 14, MINN 20

Winner

🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread MICH −6.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 41.5
Middle Tennessee @ KUFinal: Middle Tennessee 0, KU 55

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread KU −21.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
ND @ UNCFinal: ND 37, UNC 26

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ND −21

Over/Under

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Vegas total 46.5
STAN @ WAKEFinal: STAN 3, WAKE 57

Winner

🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread WAKE −14.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5
SYR @ UConnFinal: SYR 42, UConn 41

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SYR −6.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
UCF @ HOUFinal: UCF 17, HOU 27

Winner

🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread HOU −10.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
WVU @ ISUFinal: WVU 42, ISU 45

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ISU −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 53.5
MSU @ WISFinal: MSU 3, WIS 31

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread WIS −8.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 43.5
VAN @ UGAFinal: VAN 14, UGA 38

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UGA −25.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5

Saturday Afternoon

AUB @ TENNFinal: AUB 14, TENN 24

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TENN −6

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5
CAL @ UNLVFinal: CAL 31, UNLV 39

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UNLV −1.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
LOU @ NCSUFinal: LOU 28, NCSU 31

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread LOU −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5
OSU @ IOWAFinal: OSU 31, IOWA 14

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread OSU −14.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 46.5
UVA @ FSUFinal: UVA 7, FSU 38

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread UVA −1.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
FLA @ MIZFinal: FLA 17, MIZ 45

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread FLA −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 57.5
MD @ NEBFinal: MD 23, NEB 48

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread NEB −15.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 52.5
UK @ SCFinal: UK 35, SC 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread SC −2.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 52.5
PUR @ ILLFinal: PUR 24, ILL 17

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ILL −9.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 62.5

Saturday Night

ARK @ TA&MFinal: ARK 7, TA&M 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TA&M −13.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
BYU @ TCUFinal: BYU 17, TCU 10

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread BYU −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
MIA @ CLEMFinal: MIA 41, CLEM 13

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread MIA −14

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5
TTU @ COLOFinal: TTU 29, COLO 7

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread TTU −13.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
WASH @ USCFinal: WASH 21, USC 25

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread USC −7.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
McNeese @ LSUFinal: McNeese 14, LSU 63

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread LSU −53.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 62.5
IU @ RUTGFinal: IU 47, RUTG 15

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread IU −24.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5
BAY @ ASUFinal: BAY 55, ASU 19

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ASU −3.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5
CIN @ ARIZFinal: CIN 7, ARIZ 34

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ARIZ −7

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.