College Football Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners78.5%245–67
Against the spread52.9%163–145–4
Over / under52.5%159–144

2026 season · Vegas favorites won 79.8% of the same games (249–63). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.

How we've done · 2026 season
How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners245–6778.5% (Vegas favorites 79.8%)
ATS163–145–452.9%
Over/Under159–14452.5%

52.4% break-even · Vegas favorites · Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating · Winners
Winners picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Lean245–6778.5%
Over the season
Prediction recordRunning % through each week this season
  • Winners 78.5%
  • ATS 52.9%
  • O/U 52.5%
  • Vegas favorites 79.8%
  • 52.4% break-even (ATS, O/U)
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds)
WeekWinnersATSO/UVegas favorites
Week 191.7%55.2%46.4%93.3%
Week 290.8%53.3%49.0%92.7%
Week 389.8%51.6%52.0%92.4%
Week 487.7%52.3%55.3%89.7%
Week 585.4%52.0%55.2%87.2%
Week 683.1%53.0%52.4%84.3%
Week 780.4%51.2%52.5%82.1%
Week 878.5%52.9%52.5%79.8%

Week 3

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Thursday

SYR @ PITTFinal: SYR 13, PITT 27

Winner

Lean
PITT 82% to winOur odds PITT −459 · SYR +459 ✓
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low
PITT −10.5 ✓
Vegas spread PITT −10.5

Over/Under

Lean
U 51.5 · our total 46.5 (SYR 15, PITT 31) ✓
Vegas total 51.5

Friday

MIA @ WAKEFinal: MIA 33, WAKE 20

Winner

Lean
MIA 64% to winOur odds MIA −178 · WAKE +178 ✓
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low
WAKE +20.5 ✓
Vegas spread MIA −20.5

Over/Under

Lean
O 55.5 · our total 57.5 (MIA 32, WAKE 26) ✗
Vegas total 55.5
HOU @ TTUFinal: HOU 26, TTU 28

Winner

Lean
TTU 70% to winOur odds TTU −232 · HOU +232 ✓
Vegas moneyline —

ATS

Low
HOU +7.5 ✓
Vegas spread TTU −7.5

Over/Under

Low
U 52.5 · our total 43 (HOU 17, TTU 26) ✗
Vegas total 52.5
Portland State @ OREFinal: Portland State 0, ORE 84

Winner

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Vegas moneyline —

ATS

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Vegas spread ORE −58.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 71.5

Saturday Noon

Akron @ MINNFinal: Akron 7, MINN 41

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread MINN −22.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
ASU @ KUFinal: ASU 24, KU 17

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ASU −5.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
Bowling Green @ ISUFinal: Bowling Green 7, ISU 55

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ISU −22.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 43.5
Buffalo @ PSUFinal: Buffalo 13, PSU 55

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread PSU −39.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
UGA @ ARKFinal: UGA 45, ARK 17

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread UGA −24.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5
Kent State @ OSUFinal: Kent State 3, OSU 59

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread OSU −52.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
Mercer @ GTFinal: Mercer 11, GT 44

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread GT −38.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
UNC @ CLEMFinal: UNC 20, CLEM 28

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread CLEM −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 44.5
Tulane @ KSUFinal: Tulane 20, KSU 31

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread KSU −20.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5
Eastern Michigan @ WISFinal: Eastern Michigan 10, WIS 54

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread WIS −23.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 43.5
NCSU @ VANFinal: NCSU 31, VAN 35

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread VAN −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
Maine @ BCFinal: Maine 16, BC 22

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread BC −37.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5
Southern Illinois @ ILLFinal: Southern Illinois 10, ILL 48

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ILL −34.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 55.5

Saturday Afternoon

Miami (OH) @ CINFinal: Miami (OH) 31, CIN 35

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread CIN −14.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
SMU @ LOUFinal: SMU 31, LOU 41

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread LOU −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 57.5
USC @ RUTGFinal: USC 42, RUTG 35

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread USC −21

Over/Under

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Vegas total 59.5
Utah State @ UTAHFinal: Utah State 0, UTAH 33

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread UTAH −26.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 55.5
UTEP @ MICHFinal: UTEP 17, MICH 52

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread MICH −34.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
Wagner @ CALFinal: Wagner 7, CAL 49

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread CAL −58.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 65.5
UK @ TA&MFinal: UK 31, TA&M 21

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread TA&M −16.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
Louisiana Tech @ BAYFinal: Louisiana Tech 19, BAY 36

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread BAY −20.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
Northern Iowa @ IOWAFinal: Northern Iowa 0, IOWA 55

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread IOWA −37.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 48.5
STAN @ DUKEFinal: STAN 7, DUKE 35

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread DUKE −9.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
Western Kentucky @ IUFinal: Western Kentucky 0, IU 38

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread IU −44.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 59.5
FSU @ ALAFinal: FSU 36, ALA 50

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ALA −18.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
MSST @ SCFinal: MSST 41, SC 34

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread SC −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 59.5

Saturday Night

FLA @ AUBFinal: FLA 44, AUB 39

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread FLA −2.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 53.5
Georgia State @ UCFFinal: Georgia State 30, UCF 44

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread UCF −17.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
Murray State @ OKSTFinal: Murray State 0, OKST 59

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread OKST −56.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 70.5
Troy @ MIZFinal: Troy 17, MIZ 27

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread MIZ −26.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 49.5
Eastern Washington @ WASHFinal: Eastern Washington 16, WASH 48

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread WASH −42.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
North Dakota @ NEBFinal: North Dakota 7, NEB 34

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread NEB −27.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5
COLO @ NUFinal: COLO 7, NU 41

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread NU −3.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 47.5
LSU @ MISSFinal: LSU 24, MISS 32

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread LSU −3

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
MSU @ NDFinal: MSU 10, ND 27

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ND −28.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
New Mexico @ OUFinal: New Mexico 6, OU 14

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread OU −21.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 45.5
VT @ MDFinal: VT 35, MD 26

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread VT −2.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 53.5
WVU @ UVAFinal: WVU 38, UVA 27

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread UVA −10.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 51.5
Kennesaw State @ TENNFinal: Kennesaw State 9, TENN 42

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread TENN −35.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 60.5
Arkansas State @ TCUFinal: Arkansas State 7, TCU 31

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread TCU −18.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 56.5
UTSA @ TEXFinal: UTSA 6, TEX 30

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread TEX −29.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 58.5
BYU @ Colorado StateFinal: BYU 41, Colorado State 23

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread BYU −17.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 54.5
Northern Illinois @ ARIZFinal: Northern Illinois 17, ARIZ 42

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread ARIZ −34.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 50.5
PUR @ UCLAFinal: PUR 38, UCLA 52

Winner

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ATS

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Vegas spread UCLA −13.5

Over/Under

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Vegas total 53.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.