NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 78.5% 245–67
Against the spread 52.9% 163–145–4
Over / under 52.5% 159–144
2026 season · Vegas favorites won 79.8% of the same games (249–63). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2026 season 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Winners 245–67 ATS 163–145–4 Over/Under 159–144 How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 245–67 78.5% (Vegas favorites 79.8%) ATS 163–145–4 52.9% Over/Under 159–144 52.5%
By rating · Winners 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Lean 245–67 Winners picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 245–67 78.5%
Over the season Prediction record Running % through each week this season 78.5% 52.9% 52.5% 79.8% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Week 1 Week 5 Week 8
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds) Week Winners ATS O/U Vegas favorites Week 1 91.7% 55.2% 46.4% 93.3% Week 2 90.8% 53.3% 49.0% 92.7% Week 3 89.8% 51.6% 52.0% 92.4% Week 4 87.7% 52.3% 55.3% 89.7% Week 5 85.4% 52.0% 55.2% 87.2% Week 6 83.1% 53.0% 52.4% 84.3% Week 7 80.4% 51.2% 52.5% 82.1% Week 8 78.5% 52.9% 52.5% 79.8%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 4 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Friday Howard @ RUTG Final: Howard 7, RUTG 58
Winner Lean RUTG 95% to win Our odds RUTG −2074 · Howard +2074 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean RUTG −42.5 ✓
Vegas spread RUTG −42.5
Over/Under Lean O 57.5 · our total 58 (Howard 15, RUTG 43) ✓
Vegas total 57.5
NU @ IU Final: NU 23, IU 29
Winner Lean IU 89% to win Our odds IU −817 · NU +817 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Low IU −20.5 ✗
Vegas spread IU −20.5
Over/Under Low O 49.5 · our total 59 (NU 19, IU 40) ✓
Vegas total 49.5
Winner Lean CAL 57% to win Our odds CAL −132 · CLEM +132 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CAL +2.5 ✗
Vegas spread CLEM −2.5
Over/Under Lean U 52.5 · our total 50 (CLEM 23, CAL 26) ✓
Vegas total 52.5
Saturday Noon Bucknell @ PITT Final: Bucknell 0, PITT 59
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Vegas spread PITT −54.5
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Vegas total 63.5
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Vegas spread BAY −8.5
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Vegas total 54.5
ILL @ OSU Final: ILL 19, OSU 42
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Vegas spread OSU −25.5
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Vegas total 53.5
Sam Houston @ TTU Final: Sam Houston 14, TTU 49
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Vegas spread TTU −34.5
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Vegas total 55.5
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Vegas spread TEX −5.5
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Vegas total 54.5
VT @ BC Final: VT 21, BC 14
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Vegas spread VT −14.5
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Vegas total 45.5
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Vegas spread LOU −11.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 57.5
South Alabama @ UK Final: South Alabama 21, UK 45
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Vegas spread UK −20.5
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Vegas total 54.5
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Vegas spread UCLA −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 55.5
ND @ PUR Final: ND 49, PUR 10
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Vegas spread ND −27.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 57.5
Saturday Afternoon Central Arkansas @ FSU Final: Central Arkansas 7, FSU 34
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Vegas spread FSU −45.5
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Vegas total 62.5
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Vegas spread MICH −4.5
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Vegas total 39.5
OU @ UGA Final: OU 13, UGA 41
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Vegas spread UGA −11.5
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Vegas total 43.5
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Vegas spread FLA −4
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Vegas total 58.5
TCU @ UCF Final: TCU 13, UCF 21
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Vegas spread TCU −3.5
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Vegas total 48.5
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Vegas spread UTAH −7.5
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Vegas total 46.5
William & Mary @ DUKE Final: William & Mary 7, DUKE 62
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Vegas spread DUKE −43.5
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Vegas total 61.5
HOU @ Georgia Southern Final: HOU 42, Georgia Southern 28
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Vegas spread HOU −17.5
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Vegas total 56.5
VAN @ AUB Final: VAN 15, AUB 21
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Vegas spread AUB −10
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Vegas total 54.5
NEB @ MSU Final: NEB 31, MSU 13
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Vegas spread NEB −6
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Vegas total 48.5
WIS @ PSU Final: WIS 24, PSU 20
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Vegas spread PSU −9.5
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Vegas total 43.5
Delaware @ UVA Final: Delaware 3, UVA 42
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Vegas spread UVA −19.5
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Vegas total 52.5
Central Michigan @ MIA Final: Central Michigan 3, MIA 52
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Vegas spread MIA −41.5
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Vegas total 52.5
Saturday Night KSU @ CIN Final: KSU 26, CIN 31
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Vegas spread KSU −6
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Vegas total 55.5
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Vegas spread WVU −1.5
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Vegas total 60.5
SC @ ALA Final: SC 18, ALA 49
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Vegas spread ALA −12.5
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Vegas total 53.5
App State @ NCSU Final: App State 31, NCSU 41
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Vegas spread NCSU −12.5
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Vegas total 56.5
ARIZ @ Washington State Final: ARIZ 34, Washington State 24
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Vegas spread ARIZ −11.5
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Vegas total 47.5
ORE @ USC Final: ORE 41, USC 27
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Vegas spread ORE −3.5
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Vegas total 60.5
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Vegas spread LSU −8.5
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Vegas total 52.5
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Vegas spread MSST −3.5
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Vegas total 58.5
Tulsa @ ARK Final: Tulsa 6, ARK 34
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Vegas spread ARK −7
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Vegas total 51.5
Missouri State @ SMU Final: Missouri State 24, SMU 34
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Vegas spread SMU −30.5
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Vegas total 60.5
GT @ STAN Final: GT 27, STAN 34
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Vegas spread GT −3
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Vegas total 48.5
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Vegas spread WASH −12.5
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Vegas total 44.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.