NBA Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners62.5%35–21
Against the spread33.3%1–2
Over / under0.0%0–4

2027-28 season · Vegas favorites won 75.0% of the same games (3–1). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.

How we've done · 2027-28 season
How our picks have done, 2027-28 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners35–2162.5% (Vegas favorites 75.0%)
ATS1–233.3%
Over/Under0–40.0%

52.4% break-even · Vegas favorites · Tap a bar for its ratings

No rated ats picks graded yet.

Over the season
Prediction recordRunning % through each week this season
  • Winners 62.5%
  • ATS 33.3%
  • O/U 0.0%
  • Vegas favorites 75.0%
  • 52.4% break-even (ATS, O/U)
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds)
WeekWinnersATSO/UVegas favorites
Week 162.8%———
Week 262.5%33.3%0.0%75.0%

Week 2

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Mon, Oct 26

WSH @ CHAFinal: WSH 103, CHA 110

Winner

Lean
CHA 67% to winOur odds CHA −199 · WSH +199 ✓
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Over/Under

No side · our total 228 (WSH 111, CHA 117)
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MIN @ CLEFinal: MIN 125, CLE 127

Winner

Low
MIN 51% to winOur odds MIN −105 · CLE +105 ✗
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No side · our total 231.5 (MIN 117, CLE 116)
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CHI @ BOSFinal: CHI 99, BOS 134

Winner

Lean
BOS 73% to winOur odds BOS −273 · CHI +273 ✓
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No side · our total 226.5 (CHI 110, BOS 117)
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DAL @ MIAFinal: DAL 113, MIA 109

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IND @ MILFinal: IND 102, MIL 110

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PHX @ OKCFinal: PHX 114, OKC 125

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ATL @ HOUFinal: ATL 110, HOU 120

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MEM @ UTAHFinal: MEM 110, UTAH 105

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GS @ DENFinal: GS 134, DEN 114

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Tue, Oct 27

BKN @ BOSFinal: BKN 124, BOS 125

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Vegas spread BOS −11.5

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Vegas total 223.5
DET @ NYFinal: DET 97, NY 111

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Vegas spread NY −3.5

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Vegas total 218.5
SAC @ SAFinal: SAC 103, SA 130

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Vegas spread SA −18.5

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Vegas total 231.5
POR @ LALFinal: POR 136, LAL 129

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Vegas spread LAL −2.5

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Vegas total 233.5

Wed, Oct 28

MIA @ ATLWed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET

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WSH @ CLEWed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET

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CHA @ DETWed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET

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PHI @ INDWed, Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET

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Vegas spread PHI −1.5

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Vegas total 240.5
ORL @ TORWed, Oct 28, 7:30 PM ET

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NY @ CHIWed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET

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HOU @ MILWed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET

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GS @ MINWed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET

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DEN @ NOWed, Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET

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SA @ UTAHWed, Oct 28, 9:00 PM ET

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OKC @ DALWed, Oct 28, 9:30 PM ET

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LAL @ LACWed, Oct 28, 10:30 PM ET

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What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.