NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 67.0% 71–35–1
Against the spread 61.4% 62–39–6
Over / under 45.0% 45–55
2026 season · Vegas favorites won 64.2% of the same games (68–38). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2026 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 71–35–1 ATS 62–39–6 Over/Under 45–55 How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 71–35–1 67.0% (Vegas favorites 64.2%) ATS 62–39–6 61.4% Over/Under 45–55 45.0%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 48–31–5 Strong 14–8–1 ATS picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 48–31–5 60.8% Strong 14–8–1 63.6%
Over the season Prediction record Running % through each week this season 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Week 1 Week 4 Week 7
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds) Week Winners ATS O/U Vegas favorites Week 1 68.8% 66.7% 31.3% 75.0% Week 2 59.4% 64.5% 35.5% 71.9% Week 3 60.4% 64.4% 41.3% 66.7% Week 4 65.6% 57.6% 41.9% 64.1% Week 5 67.9% 57.5% 42.7% 64.1% Week 6 67.4% 57.5% 42.0% 63.0% Week 7 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 3 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night ATL @ GB Final: ATL 35, GB 14
Winner Lean GB 66% to win Our odds GB −197 · ATL +197 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean ATL +4.5 ✓
Vegas spread GB −4.5
Over/Under No side · our total 43.5 (ATL 19, GB 25)
Vegas total 43.5
Sunday early CAR @ CLE Final: CAR 18, CLE 21
Winner Lean CAR 53% to win Our odds CAR −111 · CLE +111 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CAR −2.5 ✗
Vegas spread CAR −2.5
Over/Under Low O 41.5 · our total 42.5 (CAR 22, CLE 21) ✗
Vegas total 41.5
CIN @ PIT Final: CIN 27, PIT 30
Winner Lean PIT 53% to win Our odds PIT −115 · CIN +115 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean PIT +3.5 ✓
Vegas spread CIN −3.5
Over/Under Low O 42.5 · our total 44 (CIN 21, PIT 23) ✓
Vegas total 42.5
HOU @ IND Final: HOU 17, IND 19
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread HOU −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
KC @ MIA Final: KC 24, MIA 10
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread KC −10
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
LAC @ BUF Final: LAC 16, BUF 24
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 50.5
NE @ JAX Final: NE 6, JAX 35
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread JAX −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NYJ @ DET Final: NYJ 24, DET 31
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DET −7
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
SEA @ WAS Final: SEA 31, WAS 33
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA −8.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
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Vegas spread NYG −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 37.5
Sunday late ARI @ SF Final: ARI 30, SF 36
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SF −7.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 48.5
MIN @ TB Final: MIN 23, TB 16
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
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Vegas spread MIN −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
BAL @ DAL Final: BAL 34, DAL 31
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Vegas spread BAL −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5
LV @ NO Final: LV 35, NO 27
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NO −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
Sunday Night LA @ DEN Final: LA 26, DEN 30
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DEN −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
Monday Night
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
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Vegas spread PHI −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.