NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 67.0% 71–35–1
Against the spread 61.4% 62–39–6
Over / under 45.0% 45–55
2026 season · Vegas favorites won 64.2% of the same games (68–38). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2026 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 71–35–1 ATS 62–39–6 Over/Under 45–55 How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 71–35–1 67.0% (Vegas favorites 64.2%) ATS 62–39–6 61.4% Over/Under 45–55 45.0%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 48–31–5 Strong 14–8–1 ATS picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 48–31–5 60.8% Strong 14–8–1 63.6%
Over the season Prediction record Running % through each week this season 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Week 1 Week 4 Week 7
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds) Week Winners ATS O/U Vegas favorites Week 1 68.8% 66.7% 31.3% 75.0% Week 2 59.4% 64.5% 35.5% 71.9% Week 3 60.4% 64.4% 41.3% 66.7% Week 4 65.6% 57.6% 41.9% 64.1% Week 5 67.9% 57.5% 42.7% 64.1% Week 6 67.4% 57.5% 42.0% 63.0% Week 7 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 6 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night SEA @ DEN Final: SEA 14, DEN 17
Winner Lean DEN 56% to win Our odds DEN −128 · SEA +128 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean SEA −2.5 ✗
Vegas spread SEA −2.5
Over/Under Low U 40.5 · our total 37 (SEA 17, DEN 19) ✓
Vegas total 40.5
Sunday early HOU @ JAX Final: HOU 34, JAX 31
Winner Lean JAX 57% to win Our odds JAX −131 · HOU +131 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Strong HOU +2.5 ✓
Vegas spread JAX −2.5
Over/Under No side · our total 42.5 (HOU 20, JAX 22)
Vegas total 42.5
BAL @ CLE Final: BAL 10, CLE 13
Winner Lean CLE 50% to win Our odds CLE +100 · BAL +100 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean BAL −3 ✗
Vegas spread BAL −3
Over/Under Low O 39.5 · our total 42 (BAL 21, CLE 22) ✗
Vegas total 39.5
CAR @ PHI Final: CAR 25, PHI 14
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CAR −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
CHI @ ATL Final: CHI 31, ATL 23
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
NO @ NYG Final: NO 34, NYG 27
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NO −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NYJ @ NE Final: NYJ 19, NE 26
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NE −7.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
PIT @ TB Final: PIT 26, TB 19
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread PIT −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 38.5
TEN @ IND Final: TEN 26, IND 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread IND −6.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
Sunday late ARI @ LA Final: ARI 18, LA 16
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread LA −12.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
BUF @ LV Final: BUF 33, LV 30
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF −5.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5
LAC @ KC Final: LAC 6, KC 22
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread KC −7.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
Sunday Night DAL @ GB Final: DAL 13, GB 23
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 53.5
Monday Night WAS @ SF Final: WAS 17, SF 23
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SF −7.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.