NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 67.0% 71–35–1
Against the spread 61.4% 62–39–6
Over / under 45.0% 45–55
2026 season · Vegas favorites won 64.2% of the same games (68–38). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard −110 odds.
How we've done · 2026 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 71–35–1 ATS 62–39–6 Over/Under 45–55 How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 71–35–1 67.0% (Vegas favorites 64.2%) ATS 62–39–6 61.4% Over/Under 45–55 45.0%
By rating · ATS 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 48–31–5 Strong 14–8–1 ATS picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at −110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 48–31–5 60.8% Strong 14–8–1 63.6%
Over the season Prediction record Running % through each week this season 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Week 1 Week 4 Week 7
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at −110 odds) Week Winners ATS O/U Vegas favorites Week 1 68.8% 66.7% 31.3% 75.0% Week 2 59.4% 64.5% 35.5% 71.9% Week 3 60.4% 64.4% 41.3% 66.7% Week 4 65.6% 57.6% 41.9% 64.1% Week 5 67.9% 57.5% 42.7% 64.1% Week 6 67.4% 57.5% 42.0% 63.0% Week 7 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 7 🔒 You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night NE @ CHI Final: NE 24, CHI 30
Winner Lean CHI 53% to win Our odds CHI −114 · NE +114 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CHI −3 ✓
Vegas spread CHI −3
Over/Under No side · our total 50.5 (NE 25, CHI 26)
Vegas total 50.5
Sunday early PIT @ NO Final: PIT 16, NO 10
Winner Lean PIT 58% to win Our odds PIT −138 · NO +138 ✓
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean PIT −3 ✓
Vegas spread PIT −3
Over/Under Low O 43.5 · our total 45 (PIT 24, NO 21) ✗
Vegas total 43.5
CIN @ BAL Final: CIN 35, BAL 13
Winner Lean BAL 54% to win Our odds BAL −119 · CIN +119 ✗
Vegas moneyline —
ATS Lean CIN −3 ✓
Vegas spread CIN −3
Over/Under Low O 46.5 · our total 49 (CIN 24, BAL 25) ✓
Vegas total 46.5
CLE @ TEN Final: CLE 27, TEN 24
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CLE −1.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 36.5
IND @ MIN Final: IND 10, MIN 16
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN −6.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
MIA @ NYJ Final: MIA 28, NYJ 25
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
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ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread NYJ −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
NYG @ HOU Final: NYG 27, HOU 21
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Vegas spread HOU −10
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5
SF @ ATL Final: SF 20, ATL 29
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
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Vegas spread SF −2.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
TB @ CAR Final: TB 43, CAR 13
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread CAR −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Sunday late DEN @ ARI Final: DEN 30, ARI 16
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Vegas spread DEN −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
GB @ DET Final: GB 17, DET 20
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Vegas spread DET −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 55.5
LA @ LV Final: LA 35, LV 21
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
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Vegas spread LA −3.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
Sunday Night KC @ SEA Final: KC 3, SEA 20
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA −3
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
Monday Night DAL @ PHI Final: DAL 38, PHI 21
Winner 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas moneyline —
ATS 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL −4.5
Over/Under 🔒 Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (−165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low · Lean · Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.