โ† UFC Bounty Board

Diego Lopes

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT ยท Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

28-8-0 (W-L-D) ยท Lightweight ยท #2 Featherweight

Next fight ยท UFC 335: Oliveira vs Lopes

Diego LopesvsCharles Oliveira

Oliveira: 37-11-0 ยท #3 Lightweight

  • Sunday, December 13, 2026
  • Main card: starts 8:00 PM CT
  • Main event
  • Lightweight Bout
  • 5 rounds
  • T-Mobile Arena
  • Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

LopesOliveira
28-8-0Record37-11-0
#2Rank#3
31Age37
5' 11"Height5' 10"
72.5"Reach74"
Jiu-JitsuStanceJiu-Jitsu
3.79Sig str / min3.23
4.65Absorbed / min3.05
47Str acc %56
47Str def %49
0.27TD / round0.76
69TD def %55
0.43Sub att / round0.86
33KO win %21
33Sub win %46

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: ๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers only

OutcomePriceModelGapBookLikely %
Lopes to win+124 ยท 45%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’42% implied๐Ÿ”’
Oliveira to win-157 ยท 61%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’58% implied๐Ÿ”’

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet โ†’

Fighter numbers

Record28-8-0W-L-D, all pro fights
Rank#2Featherweight
Age31
Height5' 11"
Reach72.5"
StanceJiu-Jitsu
Sig str / minAbsorbed / minStr acc %Str def %TD / roundTD acc %TD def %Sub att / roundKO win %Sub win %Avg fight (min)
3.794.6547470.270690.43333311.6

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

FighterRecordKO/TKO winsSub winsDecision winsFinish rateLost by KO/TKOLost by subLost by decision
Lopes28-8-012 (43%)12 (43%)4 (14%)86%0last 100last 101last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

ResultMethodEndedOpponentDate
W WinKO/TKOR2 2:42GarciaJun 14, 2026
L LossDecisionR5 5:00VolkanovskiJan 31, 2026
W WinKO/TKOR2 4:48SilvaSep 13, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show โ€”; they fill in at the next update.