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Sergei Pavlovich

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT ยท Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

21-3-0 (W-L-D) ยท Heavyweight ยท #3 Heavyweight

Next fight ยท UFC 335: Oliveira vs Lopes

Sergei PavlovichvsAlex Pereira

Pereira: 13-4-0 ยท #3 Light Heavyweight

  • Sunday, December 13, 2026
  • Main card: starts 8:00 PM CT
  • Co-main event
  • Heavyweight Bout
  • 3 rounds
  • T-Mobile Arena
  • Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

PavlovichPereira
21-3-0Record13-4-0
#3Rank#3
34Age38
6' 3"Height6' 4"
84"Reach79"
MMAStanceKickboxer
4.49Sig str / min5.01
3.58Absorbed / min3.72
45Str acc %61
56Str def %53
0.16TD / round0.04
75TD def %80
0.00Sub att / round0.07
67KO win %65
0Sub win %0

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: ๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers only

OutcomePriceModelGapBookLikely %
Pavlovich to win-205 ยท 67%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’64% implied๐Ÿ”’
Pereira to win+160 ยท 38%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’36% implied๐Ÿ”’

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet โ†’

Fighter numbers

Record21-3-0W-L-D, all pro fights
Rank#3Heavyweight
Age34
Height6' 3"
Reach84"
StanceMMA
Sig str / minAbsorbed / minStr acc %Str def %TD / roundTD acc %TD def %Sub att / roundKO win %Sub win %Avg fight (min)
4.493.5845560.160750.006705.3

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

FighterRecordKO/TKO winsSub winsDecision winsFinish rateLost by KO/TKOLost by subLost by decision
Pavlovich21-3-016 (76%)0 (0%)5 (24%)76%0last 100last 100last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

ResultMethodEndedOpponentDate
W WinKO/TKOR1 0:39TeixeiraMay 30, 2026
W WinDecisionR3 5:00Cortes AcostaAug 23, 2025
W WinDecisionR3 5:00RozenstruikFeb 1, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show โ€”; they fill in at the next update.