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Joe Pyfer

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT ยท Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

16-3-0 (W-L-D) ยท Middleweight ยท #6 Middleweight

Next fight ยท UFC 335: Oliveira vs Lopes

Joe PyfervsBo Nickal

Nickal: 9-1-0 ยท #14 Middleweight

  • Sunday, December 13, 2026
  • Main card: starts 8:00 PM CT
  • Main card, bout 5 of 5 from the top
  • Middleweight Bout
  • 3 rounds
  • T-Mobile Arena
  • Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

PyferNickal
16-3-0Record9-1-0
#6Rank#14
30Age30
6' 2"Height6' 1"
75"Reach76"
BoxingStanceWrestler
3.52Sig str / min3.36
3.22Absorbed / min1.93
44Str acc %62
53Str def %60
0.48TD / round1.04
63TD def %100
0.30Sub att / round0.76
53KO win %40
21Sub win %40

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: ๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers only

OutcomePriceModelGapBookLikely %
Pyfer to win-198 ยท 66%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’64% implied๐Ÿ”’
Nickal to win+164 ยท 38%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’36% implied๐Ÿ”’

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet โ†’

Fighter numbers

Record16-3-0W-L-D, all pro fights
Rank#6Middleweight
Age30
Height6' 2"
Reach75"
StanceBoxing
Sig str / minAbsorbed / minStr acc %Str def %TD / roundTD acc %TD def %Sub att / roundKO win %Sub win %Avg fight (min)
3.523.2244530.480630.3053218.3

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

FighterRecordKO/TKO winsSub winsDecision winsFinish rateLost by KO/TKOLost by subLost by decision
Pyfer16-3-010 (63%)4 (25%)2 (13%)88%0last 100last 100last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

ResultMethodEndedOpponentDate
W WinKO/TKOR2 4:18AdesanyaMar 28, 2026
W WinSubmissionR2 1:46MagomedovOct 4, 2025
W WinDecisionR3 5:00GastelumJun 7, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show โ€”; they fill in at the next update.