How we did: our model's 2025 draft board next to the market (ADP) and how every player is doing for the season, in PPR.
Built by the GAPOdds model from what was known before the 2025 season: 2024 stats, age, injury history, team moves, the targets and carries that changed teams, and the 2025 draft class. Rebuilt with the model after kickoff, not a board we published before Week 1; from 2026 the board is locked before the season starts. Updated every Tuesday.
Hit: a top-50 pick finishing as a starter at his position (QB1–12, RB1–24, WR1–30, TE1–12). Bust: finishing outside twice that, missed time included. Finish: where he ranks for the season by value over replacement in a 12-team league.
Where we beat the market: Rico Dowdle (ours 106, ADP 199, finishing 40) · Alec Pierce (ours 100, ADP 201, finishing 73) · Kyle Pitts (ours 84, ADP 145, finishing 22) · Hunter Henry (ours 93, ADP 157, finishing 46) · Cade Otton (ours 72, ADP 196, finishing 91) · Kareem Hunt (ours 113, ADP 202, finishing 100)
| GAPOdds # ▼ | Player ↕ | ADP # ↕ | Finish ↕ | Pos ↕ | PPR pts ↕ | Result ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | IND Alec Pierce WR | 201 | 73 | WR27 | 183.3 | |
| 99 | DAL George Pickens WR | 61 | 12 | WR5 | 291.9 | |
| 92 | NYG Wan'Dale Robinson WR | 127 | 47 | WR14 | 217.9 | |
| 91 | BUF Khalil Shakir WR | 90 | 85 | WR35 | 166.4 | |
| 86 | JAX Travis Hunter WR | 72 | 204 | WR85 | 0.0 | |
| 85 | CAR Tetairoa McMillan WR | 54 | 49 | WR15 | 213.4 | |
| 82 | TEN Calvin Ridley WR | 59 | 185 | WR78 | 47.3 | |
| 81 | LAC Quentin Johnston WR | 182 | 83 | WR34 | 171.2 | |
| 79 | ATL Darnell Mooney WR | 107 | 159 | WR63 | 82.3 | |
| 78 | MIA Tyreek Hill WR | 27 | 180 | WR75 | 53.5 | |
| 76 | GB Jayden Reed WR | 105 | 184 | WR77 | 48.5 | |
| 75 | ARI Marvin Harrison Jr. WR | 41 | 124 | WR45 | 127.8 | |
| 69 | JAX Jakobi Meyers WR | 73 | 77 | WR31 | 175.8 | |
| 68 | BAL Zay Flowers WR | 58 | 26 | WR7 | 243.3 | |
| 66 | SF Jauan Jennings WR | 86 | 79 | WR32 | 173.3 | |
| 62 | LA Davante Adams WR | 29 | 38 | WR9 | 222.9 | |
| 55 | CHI DJ Moore WR | 45 | 81 | WR33 | 172.2 | |
| 53 | DEN Courtland Sutton WR | 48 | 45 | WR13 | 219.7 | |
| 52 | IND Josh Downs WR | 95 | 113 | WR41 | 138.4 | |
| 51 | KC Rashee Rice WR | 85 | 102 | WR38 | 150.1 | |
| 50 | DET Jameson Williams WR | 66 | 44 | WR12 | 219.9 | Hit |
| 48 | PHI DeVonta Smith WR | 50 | 61 | WR20 | 201.8 | Hit |
| 47 | LAC Ladd McConkey WR | 25 | 75 | WR29 | 180.9 | Hit |
| 46 | TB Mike Evans WR | 31 | 157 | WR61 | 84.8 | Bust |
| 45 | WAS Terry McLaurin WR | 38 | 133 | WR49 | 114.2 | |
| 43 | KC Xavier Worthy WR | 52 | 136 | WR50 | 109.9 | |
| 41 | CLE Jerry Jeudy WR | 60 | 129 | WR46 | 120.7 | |
| 39 | MIN Jordan Addison WR | 99 | 114 | WR42 | 135.1 | |
| 38 | PHI A.J. Brown WR | 18 | 43 | WR11 | 220.3 | Hit |
| 35 | NYJ Garrett Wilson WR | 42 | 141 | WR52 | 99.5 | |
| 28 | CIN Tee Higgins WR | 22 | 54 | WR16 | 211.6 | Hit |
| 23 | HOU Nico Collins WR | 10 | 35 | WR8 | 226.2 | Hit |
| 18 | TB Chris Godwin Jr. WR | 101 | 158 | WR62 | 83.0 | Bust |
| 17 | SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR | 35 | 6 | WR2 | 359.9 | Hit |
| 16 | DAL CeeDee Lamb WR | 5 | 63 | WR22 | 200.9 | Hit |
| 14 | MIN Justin Jefferson WR | 4 | 62 | WR21 | 201.5 | Hit |
| 13 | ATL Drake London WR | 16 | 59 | WR19 | 201.9 | Hit |
| 10 | DET Amon-Ra St. Brown WR | 11 | 9 | WR3 | 324.0 | Hit |
| 8 | JAX Brian Thomas Jr. WR | 15 | 112 | WR40 | 138.8 | |
| 7 | NYG Malik Nabers WR | 7 | 177 | WR73 | 57.1 | Bust |
| 6 | LA Puka Nacua WR | 9 | 3 | WR1 | 375.0 | Hit |
| 2 | CIN Ja'Marr Chase WR | 1 | 10 | WR4 | 313.6 | Hit |
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