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Evan Elder

Fighter stats updated Today 7:00 AM CT ยท Next update Tomorrow 7:00 AM CT

10-2-0 (W-L-D) ยท Lightweight ยท Unranked

Next fight ยท UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Evan EldervsSamuel Sanches

Sanches: 1-0-0 ยท Unranked

  • Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Early prelims: starts 6:00 PM CT (main card 8:00 PM CT)
  • Early prelims, bout 4 of 4 from the top
  • Lightweight Bout
  • 3 rounds
  • Madison Square Garden
  • Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

ElderSanches
10-2-0Record1-0-0
NRRankNR
28Age23
5' 10"Height5' 10"
72"Reach74.5"
MMAStanceโ€”
5.66Sig str / min5.95
4.94Absorbed / min0.00
51Str acc %75
57Str def %100
0.16TD / round0.00
40TD def %100
0.16Sub att / round0.00
33KO win %0
17Sub win %0

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: ๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers only

OutcomePriceModelVs priceBookRating
Elder to win-120 ยท 55%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’52% implied๐Ÿ”’
Sanches to win-100 ยท 50%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’48% implied๐Ÿ”’

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Lean is the side our projection leans; Vs price says whether we like a winner or method pick more than its price does; Rating (Strong, Lean or Low) is how strong the read is.

See this fight on the UFC GAP Sheet โ†’

Fighter numbers

Record10-2-0W-L-D, all pro fights
RankNRLightweight
Age28
Height5' 10"
Reach72"
StanceMMA
Sig str / minAbsorbed / minStr acc %Str def %TD / roundTD acc %TD def %Sub att / roundKO win %Sub win %Avg fight (min)
5.664.9451570.160400.16331712.5

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

FighterRecordKO/TKO winsSub winsDecision winsFinish rateLost by KO/TKOLost by subLost by decision
Elder10-2-04 (40%)2 (20%)4 (40%)60%0last 100last 100last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

ResultMethodEndedOpponentDate
W WinDecisionR3 5:00YoungApr 26, 2025
W WinSubmissionR2 1:46FlowersJul 13, 2024
W WinDecisionR3 5:00ValdezJul 15, 2023

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show โ€”; they fill in at the next update.