How we did: our model's 2025 draft board next to the market (ADP) and how every player is doing for the season, in PPR.
Built by the GAPOdds model from what was known before the 2025 season: 2024 stats, age, injury history, team moves, the targets and carries that changed teams, and the 2025 draft class. Rebuilt with the model after kickoff, not a board we published before Week 1; from 2026 the board is locked before the season starts. Updated every Tuesday.
Hit: a top-50 pick finishing as a starter at his position (QB1โ12, RB1โ24, WR1โ30, TE1โ12). Bust: finishing outside twice that, missed time included. Finish: where he ranks for the season by value over replacement in a 12-team league.
Where we beat the market: Rico Dowdle (ours 106, ADP 199, finishing 40) ยท Alec Pierce (ours 100, ADP 201, finishing 73) ยท Kyle Pitts (ours 84, ADP 145, finishing 22) ยท Hunter Henry (ours 93, ADP 157, finishing 46) ยท Cade Otton (ours 72, ADP 196, finishing 91) ยท Kareem Hunt (ours 113, ADP 202, finishing 100)
| GAPOdds # โฒ | Player โ | ADP # โ | Finish โ | Pos โ | PPR pts โ | Result โ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | LV Brock Bowers TE | 28 | 48 | TE8 | 176.2 | Hit |
| 15 | ARI Trey McBride TE | 34 | 7 | TE1 | 315.9 | Hit |
| 22 | SF George Kittle TE | 46 | 60 | TE10 | 161.5 | Hit |
| 30 | CLE David Njoku TE | 79 | 125 | TE23 | 86.3 | |
| 49 | DET Sam LaPorta TE | 64 | 104 | TE19 | 106.9 | |
| 54 | KC Travis Kelce TE | 67 | 31 | TE3 | 193.2 | |
| 59 | PIT Jonnu Smith TE | 165 | 126 | TE24 | 85.2 | |
| 63 | GB Tucker Kraft TE | 116 | 95 | TE17 | 117.2 | |
| 65 | BAL Mark Andrews TE | 92 | 82 | TE11 | 131.0 | |
| 72 | TB Cade Otton TE | 196 | 91 | TE15 | 122.2 | |
| 74 | PHI Dallas Goedert TE | 132 | 37 | TE6 | 185.1 | |
| 84 | ATL Kyle Pitts TE | 145 | 22 | TE2 | 210.8 | |
| 89 | WAS Zach Ertz TE | 155 | 84 | TE12 | 126.4 | |
| 93 | NE Hunter Henry TE | 157 | 46 | TE7 | 178.8 | |
| 97 | BAL Isaiah Likely TE | 158 | 140 | TE26 | 61.7 |
Want the board built for your league's scoring, with mock drafts and the league simulator? Open the Draft Board โ