Chris Duncan

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT · Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

15-3-0 (W-L-D) · Lightweight · Unranked

Next fight · UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Chris DuncanvsDrew Dober

Dober: 29-15-0 · Unranked

Sunday, November 15, 2026
Prelims: starts 6:00 PM CT (main card 8:00 PM CT)
Prelims, bout 2 of 4 from the top
Lightweight Bout
3 rounds
Madison Square Garden
Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

Duncan		Dober
15-3-0	Record	29-15-0
NR	Rank	NR
33	Age	37
5' 10"	Height	5' 8"
71.5"	Reach	70"
Striker	Stance	Freestyle
4.83	Sig str / min	4.48
4.57	Absorbed / min	4.33
46	Str acc %	41
51	Str def %	53
0.97	TD / round	0.20
56	TD def %	58
0.19	Sub att / round	0.02
39	KO win %	39
22	Sub win %	11

This week's lines and our projection

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No lines yet for this fight. They show once the sportsbooks post them.

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet →

Fighter numbers

Record15-3-0W-L-D, all pro fights

RankNRLightweight

Age33

Height5' 10"

Reach71.5"

StanceStriker

Sig str / min	Absorbed / min	Str acc %	Str def %	TD / round	TD acc %	TD def %	Sub att / round	KO win %	Sub win %	Avg fight (min)
4.83	4.57	46	51	0.97	14	56	0.19	39	22	7.7

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

Fighter	Record	KO/TKO wins	Sub wins	Decision wins	Finish rate	Lost by KO/TKO	Lost by sub	Lost by decision
Duncan	15-3-0	7 (47%)	4 (27%)	4 (27%)	73%	0last 10	1last 10	0last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

Result	Method	Ended	Opponent	Date
L Loss	Submission	R2 3:14	Moicano	Apr 4, 2026
W Win	Submission	R1 2:30	McKinney	Dec 6, 2025
W Win	Decision	R3 5:00	Rebecki	Aug 2, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show —; they fill in at the next update.