Drew Dober

Fighter stats updated Sat 8:00 AM CT · Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

29-15-0 (W-L-D) · Lightweight · Unranked

Next fight · UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Drew DobervsChris Duncan

Duncan: 15-3-0 · Unranked

Sunday, November 15, 2026
Prelims: starts 6:00 PM CT (main card 8:00 PM CT)
Prelims, bout 2 of 4 from the top
Lightweight Bout
3 rounds
Madison Square Garden
Picks lock Sat 6:00 PM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

Dober		Duncan
29-15-0	Record	15-3-0
NR	Rank	NR
37	Age	33
5' 8"	Height	5' 10"
70"	Reach	71.5"
Freestyle	Stance	Striker
4.48	Sig str / min	4.83
4.33	Absorbed / min	4.57
41	Str acc %	46
53	Str def %	51
0.20	TD / round	0.97
58	TD def %	56
0.02	Sub att / round	0.19
39	KO win %	39
11	Sub win %	22

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: 🔒 Subscribers only

No lines yet for this fight. They show once the sportsbooks post them.

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet →

Fighter numbers

Record29-15-0W-L-D, all pro fights

RankNRLightweight

Age37

Height5' 8"

Reach70"

StanceFreestyle

Sig str / min	Absorbed / min	Str acc %	Str def %	TD / round	TD acc %	TD def %	Sub att / round	KO win %	Sub win %	Avg fight (min)
4.48	4.33	41	53	0.20	13	58	0.02	39	11	7.9

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

Fighter	Record	KO/TKO wins	Sub wins	Decision wins	Finish rate	Lost by KO/TKO	Lost by sub	Lost by decision
Dober	29-15-0	17 (59%)	5 (17%)	7 (24%)	76%	1last 10	0last 10	0last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

Result	Method	Ended	Opponent	Date
W Win	KO/TKO	R2 1:53	Johnson	Mar 7, 2026
W Win	KO/TKO	R3 1:16	Prepolec	Oct 18, 2025
L Loss	KO/TKO	R1 1:45	Torres	Mar 29, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show —; they fill in at the next update.