Nicolle Caliari

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT · Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

9-4-0 (W-L-D) · Women's Strawweight · Unranked

Next fight · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Nicolle CaliarivsIasmin Lucindo

Lucindo: 18-6-0 · Unranked

Saturday, October 24, 2026
Early prelims: starts 11:00 AM CT (main card 1:00 PM CT)
Early prelims, bout 5 of 5 from the top
Women's Strawweight Bout
3 rounds
Etihad Arena
Picks lock Sat 11:00 AM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

Caliari		Lucindo
9-4-0	Record	18-6-0
NR	Rank	NR
29	Age	24
5' 3"	Height	5' 3"
62"	Reach	66"
MMA	Stance	Striker
2.88	Sig str / min	3.22
5.59	Absorbed / min	2.80
40	Str acc %	45
52	Str def %	62
1.13	TD / round	0.76
50	TD def %	69
0.34	Sub att / round	0.05
39	KO win %	33
31	Sub win %	13

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: 🔒 Subscribers only

Prop	Line	Proj	Gap	Lean	Likely %
Total rounds	2.5	🔒	🔒	🔒	🔒

Outcome	Price	Model	Gap	Book	Likely %
Caliari to win	+320 · 24%	🔒	🔒	23% implied	🔒
Lucindo to win	-410 · 80%	🔒	🔒	77% implied	🔒

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet →

Fighter numbers

Record9-4-0W-L-D, all pro fights

RankNRWomen's Strawweight

Age29

Height5' 3"

Reach62"

StanceMMA

Sig str / min	Absorbed / min	Str acc %	Str def %	TD / round	TD acc %	TD def %	Sub att / round	KO win %	Sub win %	Avg fight (min)
2.88	5.59	40	52	1.13	9	50	0.34	39	31	11.1

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

Fighter	Record	KO/TKO wins	Sub wins	Decision wins	Finish rate	Lost by KO/TKO	Lost by sub	Lost by decision
Caliari	9-4-0	5 (56%)	4 (44%)	0 (0%)	100%	1last 10	0last 10	1last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

Result	Method	Ended	Opponent	Date
W Win	Submission	R3 3:08	Bannon	May 16, 2026
L Loss	KO/TKO	R3 1:30	Judice	Jul 19, 2025
L Loss	Decision	R3 5:00	Kareckaite	Jan 11, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show —; they fill in at the next update.