โ† UFC Bounty Board

Nurullo Aliev

Fighter stats updated Fri 10:54 PM CT ยท Next update Today 8:00 AM CT

12-0-0 (W-L-D) ยท Lightweight ยท Unranked

Next fight ยท UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Nurullo AlievvsGrant Dawson

Dawson: 24-3-1 ยท Unranked

  • Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Prelims: starts 11:00 AM CT (main card 1:00 PM CT)
  • Prelims, bout 4 of 4 from the top
  • Lightweight Bout
  • 3 rounds
  • Etihad Arena
  • Picks lock Sat 11:00 AM CT

Times are Central. Fights within a section don't have their own start times; the main event goes last.

Tale of the tape

AlievDawson
12-0-0Record24-3-1
NRRankNR
25Age32
5' 10"Height5' 10"
72"Reach72"
WrestlingStanceโ€”
2.29Sig str / min3.14
1.59Absorbed / min2.14
44Str acc %51
55Str def %45
1.16TD / round1.19
80TD def %67
0.15Sub att / round0.45
17KO win %18
0Sub win %50

This week's lines and our projection

Our model's pick: ๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers only

PropLineProjGapLeanLikely %
Total rounds2.5๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’
OutcomePriceModelGapBookLikely %
Aliev to win-103 ยท 51%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’48% implied๐Ÿ”’
Dawson to win-118 ยท 54%๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’52% implied๐Ÿ”’

Whoever the model gives over 50% is the projected winner. Gap = projection vs the line (stat props), or the model's chance minus the price's chance in points (winner and method).

See this fight on the UFC Gap Sheet โ†’

Fighter numbers

Record12-0-0W-L-D, all pro fights
RankNRLightweight
Age25
Height5' 10"
Reach72"
StanceWrestling
Sig str / minAbsorbed / minStr acc %Str def %TD / roundTD acc %TD def %Sub att / roundKO win %Sub win %Avg fight (min)
2.291.5944551.1610800.1517012.9

Rates come from UFC fights only (UFC.com). Per-round numbers are UFC.com's per-15-minute rates divided by 3. Hover or press a column name for what it means. Compare him with his weight class on Fighter Details.

How he wins and loses

FighterRecordKO/TKO winsSub winsDecision winsFinish rateLost by KO/TKOLost by subLost by decision
Aliev12-0-02 (17%)0 (0%)10 (83%)17%0last 100last 100last 10

Wins by method are from his whole pro record (UFC.com), with each as a % of his wins. Finish rate = KO/TKO + submission wins as a % of his wins. Numbers marked last 10 are counted from his last 10 fights, because UFC.com doesn't list them for his whole record.

Last 3 fights

ResultMethodEndedOpponentDate
W WinDecisionR3 5:00DavisJul 25, 2026
W WinDecisionR3 5:00RockNov 22, 2025
W WinDecisionR3 5:00SoleckiJan 11, 2025

Most recent first, from UFC.com. Fights saved before dates were added show โ€”; they fill in at the next update.