The Film Room · NFL · Week 10
Week 10 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em + First Look at the Props
Week 10 start/sit calls at every position: Corey Kiner, Audric Estime, Brock Bowers and more, plus who to bench and an early look at the props.

Injuries to know before you set a lineup
Puka Nacua, WR, Rams: knee and toe injuries. He's expected to go on IR, which means Week 15 at the earliest. Don't start him, and hold him if you have an IR spot.
Malik Willis, QB, Dolphins: on IR with a groin injury.
Sam Darnold, QB, Seahawks: out for Week 10.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs: day-to-day with his elbow. Justin Fields starts if he can't go.
Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson, RBs, Patriots: both uncertain. That's the swing factor for Corey Kiner.
Josh Jacobs, RB, Packers: fractured finger, and he may try to play through it.
Kirk Cousins, QB, Vikings: expected to start right away in Green Bay after the trade.
Quarterbacks
✅ START: Bryce Young, Panthers (at Saints)
Young bounced back with 20.3 points against Denver, and New Orleans allows the 12th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. He's a solid streamer if you lost Willis.
✅ START (in a pinch): Kirk Cousins, Vikings (at Packers)
Cousins goes right back into Kevin O'Connell's offense with Justin Jefferson. He doesn't run, so he's touchdown-dependent, but he's a viable QB2 with a better weapon set than he had in Las Vegas.
❌ SIT: Jordan Love, Packers (vs. Vikings)
Love just scored 36 against New England, but Minnesota allows the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks in the league (9.5 a game). Our projection agrees: Love is projected for just 217 passing yards, well under his line (more on that below).
❌ SIT: Fernando Mendoza, Raiders (vs. Seahawks)
The rookie's first start as the full-time guy comes against a strong Seattle defense. Add him if you need a stash, but don't put him in your Week 10 lineup.
Running Backs
✅ START: Corey Kiner, Patriots (at Lions)
If Stevenson and Henderson both sit again, Kiner is the clear lead back, and our projections rank him near the top of the RB board this week. Check New England's injury report Friday. If Stevenson returns, Kiner drops to a flex.
✅ START: Audric Estime, Saints (vs. Panthers)
Estime scored 14.7 points on 15 carries in his first game, and he's the lead back with Travis Etienne on IR. Carolina allows the second-most fantasy points to running backs. That's an RB2 with upside.
✅ START: Kenneth Walker III, Chiefs (at Falcons)
He's coming off 36 points and three touchdowns. Our projections have him as a top-2 RB this week. Start him without thinking twice, even if Mahomes sits.
✅ START: Jonathan Taylor, Colts (vs. Dolphins)
Two straight weeks under 10 points, and the trade that never happened. But Taylor is still an RB2 in a good home matchup with Miami starting a backup QB. Our projection has him at about 16 PPR points.
❌ SIT: Woody Marks, Texans (at Browns)
His production has dropped three straight weeks (8.4 last week), and his best game all year was 12.5 points. Keep him on the bench.
❌ SIT: Seth McGowan, Colts
With Taylor staying put, McGowan is just a handcuff. Our projection has him under 4 points.
Wide Receivers
✅ START: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks (at Raiders)
Our No. 1 projected WR of the week. Even with Darnold out, JSN is the focal point of Seattle's passing game.
✅ START: CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys (vs. 49ers)
195 yards last week. Our No. 2 WR this week. Next.
✅ START: Justin Jefferson, Vikings (at Packers)
With Cousins back, Jefferson goes back to being a weekly must-start. He averaged about 98 yards a game with Cousins. Just know that Green Bay is a tough first test, and it's Cousins' first game back in this offense.
✅ START: Carnell Tate (vs. Jaguars)
Back from injury, Tate has at least five targets in every game since Week 4, with 21.5 points in Week 4 and 19 in Week 6. Jacksonville allows the 15th-most points to receivers.
🤔 FLEX: Tank Dell, Texans (at Browns)
Nine targets last week, the most on the team. He's a reasonable flex, though Houston spreads the ball around.
❌ SIT: Jalen Coker, Panthers (at Saints)
No 10-point games since Week 6, and no more than six targets since Week 7.
❌ SIT: Puka Nacua, Rams
He's expected to miss Week 10 before the Rams' Week 11 bye, and he's likely headed to IR.
Tight Ends
✅ START: Brock Bowers, Raiders (vs. Seahawks)
Our No. 2 projected TE. No matter who's throwing in Las Vegas, the ball goes to Bowers. He's also our favorite early prop (below).
✅ START: Darren Waller, Panthers (at Saints)
Boom-or-bust, but four games of 10+ points, including 23 last week. New Orleans allows the 7th-most points to tight ends.
✅ START: Tyler Warren, Colts (vs. Dolphins)
With Keenan Allen and Josh Downs gone, Warren is the top target in Indianapolis. He's already a top-10 TE in our projections, and that's before the extra targets from the trades.
❌ SIT: Tucker Kraft, Packers (vs. Vikings)
He scored 1.9 points last week, and Minnesota allows the fewest fantasy points to tight ends.
Defense
✅ START: Saints D/ST (vs. Panthers). Carolina allows the 7th-most points to defenses.
❌ SIT: Packers D/ST (vs. Vikings). Cousins makes Minnesota's offense far more stable than it was against Buffalo.
First look at the Week 10 props
Lines open early in the week and will move, and our GAP Board locks Sunday before kickoff. But here's what the GAP Report likes right now:
Brock Bowers over 58.5 receiving yards
Our projection: 69 yards. His median is 92. This is the strongest early edge on the board. Even with a rookie quarterback, Bowers' target share isn't going anywhere.
Jordan Love under 257.5 passing yards
Our projection: 217 yards. Minnesota leads the league in pressure and allows the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. This lines up with our sit call above.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 89.5 receiving yards
Our projection: 92 yards, with a median of 122. A thinner edge, and Darnold being out is worth watching. If Seattle's backup QB is announced and the line drops, this gets more interesting.
George Kittle under 5.5 receptions
Our projection: 5 catches. A small but steady edge against Dallas.
These are early reads, not the GAP Board. Projections update with injuries and line moves through Sunday. Our Ratings are on the props cards for subscribers.
Set your lineup with your league's numbers
Start 'Em / Sit 'Em: these calls, sized to your league and scored your way.
Matchup Projections: your win chance, with the bench swaps that raise it.
GAP Report: every Week 10 prop line, our projection and the gap.
Talk Week 10 with us at r/GAPodds.
References
Forbes: Week 10 Start 'Em, Sit 'Em
Yahoo Sports: Week 10 NFL injury report
ESPN: Week 10 buzz, trade deadline fallout
ESPN: Fantasy impacts of the NFL trade deadline
FantasyPros: Week 10 waiver wire
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