NFL Pick'ems

Our pick for every game: who wins and how often, our odds, the projected score and total, and our side against the spread. Graded after every game.

Winners67.0%71โ€“35โ€“1
Against the spread61.4%62โ€“39โ€“6
Over / under45.0%45โ€“55

2026 season ยท Vegas favorites won 64.2% of the same games (68โ€“38). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โˆ’110 odds.

How we've done ยท 2026 season
How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Winners71โ€“35โ€“167.0% (Vegas favorites 64.2%)
ATS62โ€“39โ€“661.4%
Over/Under45โ€“5545.0%

52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings

By rating ยท Winners
Winners picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
PickRecordHit %
Lean71โ€“35โ€“167.0%
Over the season
Prediction recordRunning % through each week this season
  • Winners 67.0%
  • ATS 61.4%
  • O/U 45.0%
  • Vegas favorites 64.2%
  • 52.4% break-even (ATS, O/U)
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at โˆ’110 odds)
WeekWinnersATSO/UVegas favorites
Week 168.8%66.7%31.3%75.0%
Week 259.4%64.5%35.5%71.9%
Week 360.4%64.4%41.3%66.7%
Week 465.6%57.6%41.9%64.1%
Week 567.9%57.5%42.7%64.1%
Week 667.4%57.5%42.0%63.0%
Week 767.0%61.4%45.0%64.2%

Week 1

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Other days

NE @ SEAFinal: NE 10, SEA 13

Winner

Lean
SEA 56% to winOur odds SEA โˆ’127 ยท NE +127 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
NE +3 push
Vegas spread SEA โˆ’3

Over/Under

Low
O 44.5 ยท our total 47.5 (NE 23, SEA 25) โœ—
Vegas total 44.5

Thursday Night

SF @ LAFinal: SF 27, LA 7

Winner

Lean
LA 56% to winOur odds LA โˆ’127 ยท SF +127 โœ—
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
SF +3.5 โœ“
Vegas spread LA โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

Low
O 47.5 ยท our total 51 (SF 24, LA 26) โœ—
Vegas total 47.5

Sunday early

ATL @ PITFinal: ATL 13, PIT 20

Winner

Lean
PIT 62% to winOur odds PIT โˆ’160 ยท ATL +160 โœ“
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

Lean
PIT โˆ’6.5 โœ“
Vegas spread PIT โˆ’6.5

Over/Under

Low
O 40.5 ยท our total 44 (ATL 20, PIT 24) โœ—
Vegas total 40.5
BAL @ INDFinal: BAL 41, IND 23

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread BAL โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 48.5
BUF @ HOUFinal: BUF 36, HOU 31

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread BUF โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
CHI @ CARFinal: CHI 59, CAR 37

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
CLE @ JAXFinal: CLE 10, JAX 34

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread JAX โˆ’8.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
NO @ DETFinal: NO 30, DET 31

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DET โˆ’7

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 49.5
NYJ @ TENFinal: NYJ 23, TEN 10

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread TEN โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
TB @ CINFinal: TB 27, CIN 33

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread CIN โˆ’3.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 50.5

Sunday late

ARI @ LACFinal: ARI 26, LAC 14

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread LAC โˆ’8.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
GB @ MINFinal: GB 22, MIN 39

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread MIN โˆ’1.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
MIA @ LVFinal: MIA 13, LV 27

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread LV โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
WAS @ PHIFinal: WAS 22, PHI 24

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread PHI โˆ’6

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5

Sunday Night

DAL @ NYGFinal: DAL 20, NYG 28

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL โˆ’3

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5

Monday Night

DEN @ KCFinal: DEN 10, KC 31

Winner

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ€”

ATS

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas spread KC โˆ’2.5

Over/Under

๐Ÿ”’ Subscribers
Vegas total 42.5

What the numbers mean

  • Winner: the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โˆ’165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.
  • ATS: the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.
  • Over/Under: whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.
  • Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.
  • Records: every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.

For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.