NFL College Football NBA This season Last season All-time Winners 67.0% 71โ35โ1
Against the spread 61.4% 62โ39โ6
Over / under 45.0% 45โ55
2026 season ยท Vegas favorites won 64.2% of the same games (68โ38). Break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at standard โ110 odds.
How we've done ยท 2026 season 40% 50% 60% 70%
Winners 71โ35โ1 ATS 62โ39โ6 Over/Under 45โ55 How our picks have done, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at โ110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Winners 71โ35โ1 67.0% (Vegas favorites 64.2%) ATS 62โ39โ6 61.4% Over/Under 45โ55 45.0%
52.4% break-even ยท Vegas favorites ยท Tap a bar for its ratings
By rating ยท Winners 40% 50% 60% 70%
Lean 71โ35โ1 Winners picks by Rating, 2026 season (break-even is 52.4% at โ110 odds) Pick Record Hit % Lean 71โ35โ1 67.0%
Over the season Prediction record Running % through each week this season Winners 67.0% ATS 61.4% O/U 45.0% Vegas favorites 64.2% 52.4% break-even (ATS, O/U)20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Week 1 Week 4 Week 7
Prediction record through each week (break-even against the spread and over/under is 52.4% at โ110 odds) Week Winners ATS O/U Vegas favorites Week 1 68.8% 66.7% 31.3% 75.0% Week 2 59.4% 64.5% 35.5% 71.9% Week 3 60.4% 64.4% 41.3% 66.7% Week 4 65.6% 57.6% 41.9% 64.1% Week 5 67.9% 57.5% 42.7% 64.1% Week 6 67.4% 57.5% 42.0% 63.0% Week 7 67.0% 61.4% 45.0% 64.2%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Week 2 ๐ You're seeing our picks on the first 3 games. Create a free account to see 5, or subscribe to see every game. Create free account Thursday Night DET @ BUF Final: DET 31, BUF 41
Winner Lean BUF 59% to win Our odds BUF โ146 ยท DET +146 โ
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS Lean BUF โ5.5 โ
Vegas spread BUF โ5.5
Over/Under Low U 54.5 ยท our total 53 (DET 25, BUF 28) โ
Vegas total 54.5
Sunday early
Winner Lean ATL 64% to win Our odds ATL โ175 ยท CAR +175 โ
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS Lean CAR โ2.5 โ
Vegas spread CAR โ2.5
Over/Under Low O 43.5 ยท our total 46 (CAR 21, ATL 25) โ
Vegas total 43.5
Winner Lean HOU 64% to win Our odds HOU โ178 ยท CIN +178 โ
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS Lean CIN +3 โ
Vegas spread HOU โ3
Over/Under Low O 45.5 ยท our total 47 (CIN 21, HOU 26) โ
Vegas total 45.5
CLE @ TB Final: CLE 23, TB 19
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread TB โ8.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
GB @ NYJ Final: GB 20, NYJ 17
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread GB โ3.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread CHI โ4.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
NO @ BAL Final: NO 24, BAL 17
Winner ๐ Subscribers
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ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread BAL โ8.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
PHI @ TEN Final: PHI 24, TEN 20
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread PHI โ7
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 39.5
PIT @ NE Final: PIT 3, NE 20
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread NE โ4.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 41.5
Sunday late JAX @ DEN Final: JAX 13, DEN 20
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread DEN โ2.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 45.5
LV @ LAC Final: LV 26, LAC 14
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread LAC โ6.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 43.5
MIA @ SF Final: MIA 13, SF 35
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread SF โ12.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 44.5
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread SEA โ3.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 40.5
WAS @ DAL Final: WAS 20, DAL 37
Winner ๐ Subscribers
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ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread DAL โ3.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 51.5
Sunday Night IND @ KC Final: IND 30, KC 33
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread KC โ6
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 46.5
Monday Night NYG @ LA Final: NYG 6, LA 28
Winner ๐ Subscribers
Vegas moneyline โ
ATS ๐ Subscribers
Vegas spread LA โ6.5
Over/Under ๐ Subscribers
Vegas total 47.5
What the numbers mean Winner : the team we expect to win and how often we expect it to win a game like this one. Our odds are that win % written as American odds (โ165 means a favorite we expect to win about 62% of the time), next to the sportsbooks' moneyline.ATS : the side we expect to cover the Vegas point spread.Over/Under : whether we expect more (O) or fewer (U) points than the Vegas total, with the total and score we expect.Rating (Low ยท Lean ยท Strong): how picks like this one have done for us so far. Strong is our best group; Low has no edge.Records : every graded game in the season you choose (this season, last season or all-time). Spread and over/under picks are graded at the closing Vegas line, and a push doesn't count either way.For entertainment and information. No pick is a sure thing.